The current increase in cases can most likely be explained by a decline in the overall vaccination rates globally, which are below the WHO recommended uptake. In order to prevent measles outbreaks, at least 95 per cent of the population must have received two doses of the vaccine. If measles is imported into communities where vaccination coverage is below 95 per cent, the risk of outbreaks increases.
Health experts say some parents have underestimated the seriousness of measles because it had largely been eradicated. In addition, many routine vaccinations were missed during the COVID pandemic. The low level of vaccination has also been attributed to misinformation in the past which falsely linked the MMR jab to autism. In 1998, Andrew Wakefield published a study in the Lancet journal that claimed a thoroughly debunked connection between the MMR vaccine and autism. His misleading research led him to lose his medical license. There is no evidence linking the MMR vaccine with autism.